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Oklahoma State Football

Tale of the Tape: Fiesta Bowl

We’re just a few days away from Oklahoma State’s much-anticipated matchup with Notre Dame. Kickoff is scheduled 12 p.m. CT on Sat., Jan 1 and is being televised on ESPN. Here’s a quick look at how the Cowboys and Fighting Irish compare in terms of stats, odds and rankings:

Let’s start with rankings:

                                                                 OSU                    ND

  • CFP rank                                      9                          5              
  • Strength of Schedule                15                        18  
  • FPI                                                8                          5
  • SP+                                               15                       7

Offensive Stats:

                                                                 OSU                    ND

  • Total Offense                              66th (402.9)       55th (415.8)
  • Scoring Offense                          50th (30.6)         20th (35.2)
  • Passing Yards                              76th (221.2)       34th (263.6)
  • Yards per Completion               76th (11.98)        50th (12.6)
  • Rushing Yards                             45th (181.8)        73rd (152.2)     
  • 3rd down %                                 26th (44.4%)       62nd (40.7%)
  • 4th down %                                 68th (50%)          52nd (56.2%)
  • Redzone TD%                             62%                      64%
  • Turnovers Lost                           18                         14
  • Time of Possession                    33rd (31 mpg)    64th (29 mpg)

Defensive Stats:

                                                                OSU                      ND

  • Total Defense                             3rd (278.4)        28th (339.1)
  • Scoring Defense                         8th (16.77)         9th (18.25)
  • Pass Yards Allowed                    12th (187.2)       41st (212.0)
  • Rush Yards Allowed                   5th (91.2)           30th (127.1)
  • 3rd Down Defense                     2nd (26.1%)       16th (32.9%)
  • 4th Down Defense                     5th (30.8%)        76th (53.3%)
  • Red Zone TD %                           53.3%                 36.8%
  • Turnovers Forced                       78th (15)            16th (23)
  • Sacks                                            1st (55.0)            6th (40.0)
  • TFL                                                1st (110.0)         35th (78.0)

Betting odds/predictions

The spread has Notre Dame as 2.5 point favorites over Oklahoma State, with an over/under of 45.5. The line has fluctuated a bit back and forth after OSU lost Jim Knowles and after ND lost Kyle Hamilton and Kyren Williams, but it will probably stay around 2.5 come kickoff.

According to ESPN’s FPI Matchup Predictor gives Notre Dame a slight edge with a 51.9% chance to win, but it’s very close.

Discussion from...

Tale of the Tape: Fiesta Bowl

3,443 Views | 6 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Joe Khatib
GumbyFromPokeyLand
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7:05p, 12/28/21
Ryan,

All good stuff, but give us the really important numbers. How many starters for each team will be out with Covid?
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Ryan Breeden
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In reply to GumbyFromPokeyLand • 7:57p, 12/28/21
That's a great question, but one that I don't know the answer to unfortunately. And it could very much change as well the next 3 days.
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Orangeheart72
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8:01p, 12/28/21
And which players. But defensive numbers give hope! Offensively, you have to hope ND's DL is not as good as Baylor's. And we would have beaten Baylor's team with Jaylen at rb.
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GumbyFromPokeyLand
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In reply to Ryan Breeden • 8:42p, 12/28/21
Ryan Breeden said:
That's a great question, but one that I don't know the answer to unfortunately. And it could very much change as well the next 3 days.


I was just giving you a hard time. Certainly a huge unknown now and even 2 hours before the game. I predict the winner will be the team least effected by Covid.
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Ryan Breeden
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In reply to GumbyFromPokeyLand • 9:08p, 12/28/21
I agree. I also know that OSU is going to do everything in its power to play this game, even if that means splitting Tyler Lacy out wide to run some routes if it comes to it haha.
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Joe Khatib
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In reply to Orangeheart72 • 5:16p, 12/29/21
Orangeheart72 said:
And which players. But defensive numbers give hope! Offensively, you have to hope ND's DL is not as good as Baylor's. And we would have beaten Baylor's team with Jaylen at rb.
They aren't as athletic as teams like Baylor, OU or Texas on defense!
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